Different transport sectors are moving in different directionsDownload the Document
The recent trend has been for a sustained drop in prices being paid for transport around the world. But strong demand for air transport, which grew by 4% in 2017, is the big story in global transport. It’s a symptom of the general economic recovery, and in particular of the rise of the middle class in Asia, along with falling ticket prices (they have halved over the past 20 years in real terms).
Contrast this with the roads sector, which varies wildly from region to region, and the cargo sector where overcapacity is the current problem.
Coface projects continuing growth in demand for transport in 2018, with the rail, road and maritime sectors thriving. Western European road transport is benefiting from historically low fuel costs. However, Latin America will continue to be hit by the underdeveloped infrastructure, increasing freight costs and putting a brake on demand.
The simple truth about the transport industry is that it very susceptible to external factors, from oil prices to weather and economic conditions. Coface credit insurance, and our constant flow of industry intelligence add up to essential protection for your business.
Similar to last quarter, the uncertainties surrounding the forecasts presented in this barometer are very high. They are primarily linked to the global health situation: since June, the pandemic has continued to gain momentum.
01 October, 2020
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