An era of change for the metals sectorDownload the Document
Slowdown is looming in the metals sector, especially in steelmaking, even though prices rose and there was significant global growth in metals consumption in 2017, driven by a proliferation of construction and infrastructure projects. The automotive industry is the main cause of rising aluminium prices, further boosted by the closure of some Chinese plants. Nickel, zinc and copper prices have showed similar recent rises.
Strengths and weaknesses
Half of the world’s steel is produced and consumed in China. In 2018 planned tariffs on Chinese steel imports to Europe and the US may slow down along with the previously healthy construction and manufacturing sectors. Chinese steel consumption should fall in 2018, but it is expected to grow in Europe. Growth in steel consumption is also anticipated in the USA, thanks to President Trump’s planned infrastructure programme, and the proposal to impose customs duties on imports and favour domestic steelmakers.
Similar to last quarter, the uncertainties surrounding the forecasts presented in this barometer are very high. They are primarily linked to the global health situation: since June, the pandemic has continued to gain momentum.
01 October, 2020
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