2nd Quarter 2018 Country Risk Assessment Map

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Country Risk Assessment Map – Q2 2018

Understand global business default risk

The team of expert analysts at Coface take time to assess business risk in over 160 countries each quarter. The Country Risk Assessment Map is free to download – essential for anyone interested in finding out more about the risks they face in operating in a global export market.

The map includes a visual scale of the likelihood of business default risk from A1 (very low) to E (extreme) Included in the map are the latest upgrades and downgrades across the globe.

Maps

Strengths and weaknesses

Paper is the world’s most recycled material, and this is perhaps its biggest strength for the future. The pressure to use recyclables can only increase. In particular paper products can provide sustainable alternatives to plastics.

In 2018 Coface analysts predict that paper production will increase in Europe, but fall in the USA. In Germany, which is Europe’s biggest market, demand for industrial packaging will be particularly strong.

Overall, traditional pulp production will continue to fall, with mills closing, whereas paper tissue and paper packaging production are on the rise.

Expertise at a glance

In creating the Country Risk Map for 2nd Quarter 2018 we use macroeconomic experience in assessing the risk for over 160 countries. We understand the business environment and use data collected over 70 years to understand more and provide reliable risk assessment.

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Resources

Agrofood Sector Risk Report

Generally, worldwide food prices stabilised in 2017, having been exceptionally high before. For example, sugar prices, always volatile, fell sharply in 2017 after steep rises in the previous year.

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Resources

Transport Sector Risk Report

The recent trend has been for a sustained drop in prices being paid for transport around the world. But strong demand for air transport, which grew by 4% in 2017, is the big story in global transport.

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Resources

ICT Sector Risk Report

Internet use is still growing globally, especially in Africa. By 2020 Coface analysts expect that worldwide data exchanged will have tripled and half the world’s population will be internet users.

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